The rise and fall of technical trading rule success

The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of an important set of momentum-based technical trading rules (TTRs) applied to all members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stock index over the period 1928–2012. Using a set of econometric models that permit time-variation in risk-adjusted returns to TTR portfolios, the results reveal that profits evolve slowly over time, are confined to particular episodes primarily from the mid-1960s to mid-1980s, and rely on the ability of investors to short-sell stocks. These findings are demonstrated to be consistent with theoretical models that predict a relationship between TTR performance and market conditions.     

Masculinity,Testosterone, and Financial Misreporting

We examine the relation between a measure of male CEOs’ facial masculinity and financial misreporting. Facial masculinity is associated with a complex of masculine behaviors (including aggression, egocentrism, riskseeking, and maintenance of social status) in males. One possible mechanism for this relation is that the hormone testosterone influences both behavior and the development of the face shape. We document a positive association between CEO facial masculinity and various misreporting proxies in a broad sample of S&P1500 firms during 1996–2010. We complement this evidence by documenting that a CEO's facial masculinity predicts his firm's likelihood of being subject to an SEC enforcement action. We also show that an executive's facial masculinity is associated with the likelihood of the SEC naming him as a perpetrator. We find that facial masculinity is not a measure of overconfidence. Finally, we demonstrate that facial masculinity also predicts the incidence of insider trading and option backdating.     

COPENHAGEN,CANCÚN AND THE LIMITS OF GLOBAL WELFARE ECONOMICS

The rise of a global welfare economics directed at the environmental challenges facing our planet represents a new policy phenomenon. This paper examines the most ambitious attempt so far to put such economics into practice via the Kyoto Protocol and more specifically the Clean Development Mechanism of the Protocol. The Copenhagen and Cancún climate change conferences have put an end to hopes of the Protocol serving as an effective tool in the mitigation of global warming. This failure of the new global welfare economics is the result of flawed principles, not just defective implementation.     

The Ethics of Insider Trading Revisited

Following Manne (1966, Insider Trading and the Stock Market (New York, Free Press)) we introduce a distinction between insider trading and market manipulation on the one hand and corporate insiders versus misappropriators on the other hand. This gives rise to four types of alleged inside transactions. We argue that the literature on insider trading has often targeted inside transactions type II, III and IV but that these arguments do not necessarily hold for type I transactions. We look for consequentionalist as well as non-consequentionalist arguments against type I transactions and demonstrate that these are hard to find. Throughout the article we refer extensively to the economic literature on insider trading in order to overcome a relative divide between the economic, legal, and philosophical discussion on insider trading.

试论虚拟网上证券交易场所的法律监管

虚拟网上证券交易场所作为一种智能化的交易系统,允许投资者直接进入交易系统交易,一方面为我国大量未能上市的各类证券提供了流通场所,另一方面也对传统的法律监管构成了挑战。对之无论是按证券公司监管还是按证券交易所监管,都存在一定的困惑。就我国实际来看,从保护投资者利益出发应以证券交易所监管较好,为此我国现行法律需要作出相应的调整。     

规则的背后:美国对华实施首次反补贴调查剖析

美国在2005年颁布《美国贸易权利执行法案》后,将反补贴的国内立法适用到包括中国在内的所谓非市场经济体的输美产品。贸易救济权是平等赋予世贸组织所有成员的,仅仅从规则本身来看,美国对华实施反补贴调查于法有据。但它是在美国对华贸易保护主义定势思维的惯性下启动的,是与《补贴与反补贴措施协议》倡导的公平贸易的精神背道而驰的。规则背后隐藏着贸易保护主义动机的对华贸易壁垒。     

融资融券试点的制度安排和制度完善——基于投资者权益保护视角的分析

融资融券交易试点正面临制度完善的重大课题。本文从投资者权益保护的视角对融资融券交易试点制度进行了案例分析,研究我国融资融券业务试点的制度安排、制度缺陷和政策建议。本文率先尝试评价了融资融券业务试点的制度体系,发现其制度机制基本保障了投资者融资融券交易的市场准入权、资产安全权、广泛知情权、公平交易权、服务保证权和投资收益权六项合法权益;从投资者权益保护角度看,虽然试点制度层次清楚、基本完整,但结构失衡,效率不足;建议出台长远规划,推进转融通制度,调整市场准入制度,完善投资者权益保护评价制度,并扩大试点范围,提高效率。     

融资融券试点对我国股票市场波动性的影响实证研究

融资融券交易正式启动对我国股票市场将产生什么样的波动性影响,是学术界和理论界共同关注的焦点。本文在前人研究基础上,从我国实际情况出发,以标的证券指数——上证50指数与深证成指指数作为影响我国股票市场的代表展开实证,运用GARCH族模型,引入虚拟变量D,其中D用来刻画融资融券推出前后对我国股票市场的影响。通过建模,得出融资融券试点一年多时间以来有利于减小我国股票市场波动性的结论。     

试析中国证券市场T+1交易制度改革

中国证券市场曾经实行过T+0交易制度,由于存在过度投机T+0被取消,进而推出了T+1交易制度。2010年之后,股指期货等金融衍生产品的推出标志着中国证券改革正走向纵深,T+1交易制度已经不再适应中国资本市场的重大变化,特别是光大“8·16”乌龙事件中,机构利用股指期货和ETF变相T+0交易规避风险,市场的公平与效率亟待维护和提升。为此,本文提出在沪深300成分股中率先实行T+0制度的渐次改革原则及其三大理由。